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Connectography: Mapping the Future of Global Civilization, by Parag Khanna
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Connectivity is the most revolutionary force of the 21st century. Mankind is reengineering the planet, investing up to 10 trillion dollars per year in transportation, energy, and communications infrastructure linking the world's burgeoning megacities together. This has profound consequences for geopolitics, economics, demographics, the environment, and social identity. Connectivity, not geography, is our destiny.
In Connectography, visionary strategist Parag Khanna travels from Ukraine to Iran, Mongolia to North Korea, Pakistan to Nigeria, and across the Arctic Circle to explain the unprecedented changes affecting every part of the planet. He shows how militaries are deployed to protect supply chains as much as borders, and how nations are less at war over territory than engaged in tugs-of-war over pipelines, railways, shipping lanes, and Internet cables. The new arms race is to connect to the most markets - a race China is now winning, having launched a wave of infrastructure investments to unite Eurasia around its new Silk Roads. The United States can only regain ground by fusing with its neighbors into a super-continental North American Union of shared resources and prosperity.
- Sales Rank: #10746 in Audible
- Published on: 2016-08-23
- Released on: 2016-08-23
- Format: Unabridged
- Original language: English
- Running time: 973 minutes
Most helpful customer reviews
99 of 102 people found the following review helpful.
6-Star Utterly Brilliant Survey and Strategy
By Robert David STEELE Vivas
The author of this book has done something no one else has done – I say this as the reviewer of over 2,000 non-fiction books at Amazon across 98 categories. For the first time, in one book, we have a very clear map of what is happening where in the way of economic and social development; a startlingly diplomatic but no less crushing indictment of nation-state and militaries; and a truly inspiring game plan for what we should all be demanding from countries, cities, commonwealths, communities, and companies, in the way of future investments guided by a strategy for creating a prosperous world at peace.
This is a nuanced deeply stimulating book that makes it clear that China’s grand strategy of building infrastructure has beaten the US strategy of threatening everyone with a dysfunctional military that crushes hope and destroys wealth everywhere it goes; that connectivity (cell phones, the Internet, roads, high-speed rail, tunnels, bridges, and ferries) is the accelerator for wealth creation by the five billion poor that most Western states and corporations ignore; and it provides to me more surprises, more factoids I did not know, more insights – than any five to ten other books I have read over time.
At one point it occurred to me that in some ways the author is our generation’s successor to Alvin Toffler, Peter Drucker, and Robert Kaplan, combined. I really am deeply impressed, in part because the author’s insights come from years of crisscrossing the world and touch reality in a hands-on manner not achieved by any diplomatic, intelligence, commercial, media, or academic network in existence today; and in part because the book comes with 38 glorious color maps that are each alone worth the price of the book [an appendix points to 38 web sites that supplement the book and are a discovery journey of their own].
This is the best book – the deepest and the most useful – the author has produced to date. This is a book that should be read by every prime minister, president, senator, organizational chief – and by those who aspire to such positions. Many people publish content – few publish context – this book has both.
I have over ten pages of notes – below are just 4 quotes and 10 insights from among the hundred or so I took notes on – and strongly recommend this books for all libraries, all war colleges, all university overview courses on civilization and its malcontents.
QUOTE (175): “America’s nominal power is unsurpassed, but subtract for deterrence, distance, and competence, and its effective power is less formidable than appears on paper.”
QUOTE (199): “Eurasia represents two-thirds of the world’s population, economy, and trade, and that is before it genuinely fuses together into a connected mega-continent through voluminous durable infrastructures that will smooth and speed commerce.”
QUOTE (225): “No amount of ‘soft power’ can substitute for cutting a fair deal.”
QUOTE (287): “Guangzhou’s first lesson is the importance of administrative harmony. … The second lesson from the delta region’s evolution is leveraging openness.”
INSIGHTS:
3/4 of the world’s population lacks basic infrastructure and utilities – this is the center of gravity going forward.
China has 2,000 commercial maritime vessels compared to 200 for the USA at the same time that Chinese high-speed rail is the 21st century alternative to air and road travel around the world.
China also has multiple sucking chest wounds, including the loss of half its rivers such that its population has one fifth the per capita water compared to the rest of the world; buildings that last fifteen years instead of thirty-five.
Devolution (smaller sovereignty/control zones) is inherently both democratic and efficient – we are migrating from sovereign space to admin space, in which hybrid governance where all non-government players have equal voice and vote) removes friction and increases flow.
Global warming is good for Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, and Russia – the Arctic is the next frontier, and ideally will be kept demilitarized - a priority championed by Norway.
Iran is the most connected nation in the Middle East.
Muslim violence in the Middle East is politically fostered and neither inherent in Islam nor ideological.
Russia, for lack of infrastructure, is losing swaths of its previously controlled territory, citizens, and resources to Europe in the East and China in the West; Brazil, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Russia are all under-performing for lack of investment in infrastructure (communications and transportation).
Special Economic Zones (SEZ) represent the unbundling and remixing of territory and resources, the relative demise of the nation-state in the face of superior agility at the city-state level.
Systemic change happens every couple of centuries – we are on the cusp of a global systemic revolution that will change every paradigm from economics to governance to lifestyle.
I have one caveat about this book, easily corrected in future printings and translations. The book comes with the most incomplete index I have ever encountered in a book of this quality and depth. If the book as a whole is a six-star work, the index is at best a 2 and barely so.
Readers interested in going into depth on any particular threat or policy (e.g. poverty as a threat or water as a policy) can find my 2000+ summary reviews online sorted by category at Phi Beta Iota Public Intelligence Blog.
Below are ten books I recommend as supporting complements to this great work.
Transforming the Dream: Ecologism and the Shaping of an Alternative American Vision
The Big Disconnect: Why The Internet Hasn't Transformed Politics (Yet)
Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action (Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions)
The Lessons of History
Homeland Earth : A Manifesto for the New Millennium (Advances in Systems Theory, Complexity and the Human Sciences)
A User's Guide to the Crisis of Civilization: And How to Save It
World 3.0: Global Prosperity and How to Achieve It
Grand Strategies: Literature, Statecraft, and World Order
God and Science: Coming Full Circle?
Ideas and Integrities: A Spontaneous Autobiographical Disclosure
ROBERT David STEELE Vivas
INTELLIGENCE for EARTH: Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability
45 of 49 people found the following review helpful.
Maps are not included with Kindle edition.
By Tomcat_NC
Like the author I too appreciate good maps and was expecting to find them in this book. The maps are not included in the book, at least in not in the Kindle edition. Instead you are directed to a url. I used an iPad and iPad Pro to access this and the map comes up with a default page showing North America and Africa....Asia is somewhere off the screen. You can use the hard to use controls to zoom out and then you see China,but at least on iPads there is not a way to pan. I am not able to zoom into Asia. I have just purchased the book and have skimmed the book...it looks to be very interesting reading, so I would still recommend this book but be forewarned that you won't be able to access the maps when reading the Kindle book unless you have internet connectivity. I tried this with Chrome too as I thought it might just be the Safari browser and got the same results. When I brought the same map up on my iMac, using Chrome, I was able to pan with the mouse. I don't know what the experience would be with a Kindle Fire.
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A Word-Dense Review of an Idea-Dense Book
By Scott A. Jones
I'm not sure if Khanna's latest book is a futurology tome, a besieging number of examples for the emergence of the supply chain as the organizing principle of civilization, or the most readable macro-economics text I've seen. His arguments are cogent and convincing. If I had to summarize – human interaction, connectedness, and the marketplace will rule the future, enabled by digital technology and the pressing needs of the marketplace. Most of the vices of the political and religious world and the murderous nature of man will be ironed out by interdependence, less reliance on nations and more on financial, service, and manufacturing networks, and the global specialization of labor. He makes the liberal argument compellingly that the single largest reason to do a trade deal is to suppress war and support stability, and the more trade deals, even bad ones, the better. This is a long range view that the 2016 USA presidential race has conveniently forgotten.
Parag doesn't sugar-coat it – the dross that humanity drags with it that truly threatens mankind will take concerted effort to overcome: crisis venues like global warming, ethnic cleansing, rising sea levels, rapidly mutating diseases and epidemics, the interplay of population growth with straitened resources. He also points out over and over that investment in infrastructure is the single greatest payout a city, industrial sector, region, or nation can make. The losers will be the ones who make this investment their goal too late, or who outsource it (like Mongolia has to China) to others without getting a proper ownership stake. He also points out that bad things, like human trafficking, illegally supporting failed or dictatorial states, drug running, and terrorism are also facilitated by interconnectedness.
One area that this convincing book (how many times will I mention that it is convincing?) did not address to my satisfaction is the pinch on the nation states. To stay connected in the midst of globalization, they have increasing pressures on their regulatory environment, on their sovereignty, on their tax rates, on their political devolution to ethnic groups and to the cities. At the same time, he calls upon nations to save the hinterlands, promote infrastructure, presumably maintain military organizations (if nothing else than as shock troops for epidemic response), educate the masses, and most importantly save large disenfranchised classes even as national tax bases fritter away to other political / economic states. It's nice to have the problems pointed out but more difficult to understand next steps. Revolutions show us that the big transitions are the zones of most trauma and human loss.
Khanna has the credentials (look him up) to write a book that shows how the networks and their friction and flow will triumph over borders and parochial political forces in the long term, and I think he's got it right. It's a message that is simple in an incredibly complex world – like Adam Smith's unseen hand of the market, Khanna's Connectography implies that the linkup is the thing, and that interconnection is so rewarding to every player for every reason measurable that it becomes an unstoppable force. Like Smith's unseen hand, its sheer distributed nature means it will defeat hierarchic organized efforts to stem it.
Scott Jones
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![[(My Way )] [Author: Paul Anka] [May-2013], by Paul Anka](https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/blogger_img_proxy/AEn0k_tuDvHjPyjfCm_Tvr5KF__iApVF1mO6qD-OnZc4NqRb8dRnHzt6Kr4gLSmqB_HPUtIMxaDLzhzXdG_jTCbeygW1aBNCZv41-o_gJ3BKuV2CvdU_qu-i--YYAhI=s0-d "[(My Way )] [Author: Paul Anka] [May-2013], by Paul Anka")
